Sport blog

Picking a winner can be difficult at the best of times.  Here are some pointers which will hopefully help you pick more winners.  It takes a bit of work but can be worth it if you end up landing a 16/1 shot!

Last Runs

Some people say a horse is only as good as its last run, and while that may be the case in some circumstances, at other times it can be deceiving.  If you simply look at the figures and see that a horse finished 5th in its last outing you may think against backing it this time.  This is a mistake often made by inexperienced punters.

Ideally you need to take a look at a video of the last run.  Was the horse held up?  It may not have found the space required on the run to the line.  Was the ground to its liking?  Some horses find it difficult when the ground is soft, others when the ground is too firm.  Were the horses who finished in front of better quality?  The horses in the race  you are looking at might not be of the same class.  These factors we will look at in more detail in the rest of this article.

Market Support

An indication of a horses chance of winning is whats odds are all about, but backing a favourite just because its favourite can be a mistake.  What you need to do is decide, based on many factors, which horse or horses have been underestimated by the market.  This can still be the favourite, not necessarily the horse at big odds.  Some of the tips in this article will hopefully help you discover this.

Change of Class

In order for a horse to win it is often dropped into a class of horses which are lower than in previous races it has run.  For example previously a horse may have run in a class 4 race and now be stepping back to a class 5.

Some horses will be stepping up in class and this is not always a bad thing.  It may just mean the trainer thinks it can cope with the step up, but at other times it can be a step too far.  You need to decide which is the case.

Change of Trip

Sometimes a horse may struggle over a certain distance and will be either dropped to a shorter distance or a longer distance.  If a horse is dropped to a shorter trip than previously (lets say from 7 to 5 furlongs) because it couldn’t stay on at the longer distance.  At a shorter distance it may perform better.  Alternatively a horse may be stepped up (lets say from 5 to 7 furlongs) because it didn’t have the speed to win over 5 furlongs but has the staying power to perform well over the longer distance

The Course

Different horses often perform better on different race courses.  There are a number of reasons for this such as the ground, bend or lack of bend in the track etc.  The only way to know is by checking out the previous form.

Another course factor as mentioned previously is the going.  This means the amount of give in the ground.  Some horses love the soft ground, other the firm and some are good performers on both.  The only way to tell this is by looking at their previous races.

All weather courses are often favoured by certain horses which can struggle on the turf.  This is yet another factor to consider.

Trainer Form

How are the trainers other horses performing recently?  If the trainer’s horses are on a losing streak you may want to think again.  However, this is not a factor I would look too much into.  Just because a few other horses have performed badly doesn’t mean the trainer has forgotten how to do his job

Jockey Form and Big Names

Although the horse does most of the work there is a job to be done by the jockey.  They need to decided how fast the horse runs early on, when to make a spurt for home and guiding the horse through the traffic.  Just like trainer’s, I wouldn’t look to heavily into this, the jockey still knows how to ride and winners soon come.

Look out for some of the big name jockey’s when picking a horse.  However, don’t make the mistake of picking winners simply based on the jockey.  Even the best jockeys only have around a 15-20% win rate during a season.  As said previously, the horse does most of the work and the jockey just guides it.  If your selection does have a good quality jockey on board its just another positive factor

Breeding

Horses are often bred from previous top class horses.  This means the offspring should have the natural ability of their mother/father.  However, thats all it is, they still need to be trained well, so form is a more accurate yard stick.

Handicapping

In handicap races horses are given extra weight based on their previous form.  The idea is to give all horses in the race an equal chance of winning.  The top horses are given extra weight to carry and therefore slows them down.  The horse you are thinking of picking may have won his last race and will probably be given extra weight to carry.  You need to decide if the horse can overcome this and still perform.  Alternatively a horse may not have been performing as well recently and has been given much less weight than previously.  You need to decide whether this weight difference can turn the horses fortunes around.

Misc.

Other things of note include time since last run.  A horse may not have run for a year or two and should be backed with caution.  Also some horses can run a few times in a couple of weeks.  Most manage this ok but can tire.

Some horses are gelded since their previous run which can often make them focused on the task at hand and perform better. (for those who might not know, gelding is somethinig done to male horses which involves removing their testicles)

Therefore, the condition of the chalk and how it will run will determine how the pools are divided.

This may all sound very academic but it is amazing how many people start handicapping a horse race without checking out the most popular horse first.

The horse that is considered the best in the race by most of the bettors usually wins about a third of the races. Looking at it another way, the favorite loses two thirds of the time. Simple arithmetic will tell you that finding those situations where it will have a reason to lose will open up the possibility of other good betting opportunities.

Though it may sound quite simple, the first method I use to determine who the contenders are and whether the people’s choice is among them is to look at the column in the past performances where they indicate whether the horse has won at the track and distance. In other words, which runners have actually done what is being asked of them today?

It is amazing how many times people will make a horse the top betting choice at the lowest odds when it has not shown that it can do what is being asked of it. If the lowest odds are on a horse that hasn’t done what is being asked while another horse who has won at the track and distance offers good odds, then that one who has done it may be a good bet.

Another big consideration is current form. If a thoroughbred hasn’t raced within 35 days, it may not be in good shape. While workouts may help it to maintain some muscle, most winners have shown a race within the last 35 days. So if the top choice hasn’t raced within 35 days, look for another contender who has and is also offering more attractive odds.

Another indication of a horse that is racing under a cloud is one whose connections are not very good at winning. I am talking about the trainer and jockey. If either one has a low win average, that is another red flag.

It helps to have a checklist that you go through when handicapping a race and if you start with the top horse you will soon be able to decide whether to play the favorite, look for another good contender, or pass the race.

Horse racing is one of the oldest games. Kings and emperors used to watch this game for entertainment. Now there is no king and no emperor. But the popularity of this game rose to an amazing level. Many people are crazy about this sport. Apart from excitement, this game also gives the opportunity to earn some bucks. Many people put bet on their favorite horses. People from different parts of the world are engaged in such type of betting. There are some strategies to win the betting. Before betting, you need to know the system of betting. It is one of tasks that you need to do to win the bet.

Select a horse that is energetic and can cover a long distance. Also make it sure that the horse runs well on the surface, of the horse racing ground. Otherwise, you may lose some bucks and may lose the bet. Budget is also an important factor that you need to consider before taking any decision on this issue. You can opt for less amount of money, if you have little idea about the horse or are new in this process. On the other hand, if you are experienced and confident, you can opt for higher amount.

To get victory in horse race betting, you need to know some horse racing tips. These strategies or tips can really prove to be beneficial for you. First, you need to check the condition of the horse; you are planning to bet on. It may become difficult for you to check it out. But you can collect information about the horse by checking its record. Next, you need to consider whether horse has a good record or not. It is also important to enquire whether it has performed well in the previous races or not. If it had not performed well, it is better to change your decision.

Another important factor is atmosphere that you need to consider before taking any definite decision. You need to know the atmosphere in which the horse feels comfortable and performs well. One horse may run fast in a rainy atmosphere and another may perform well in a sunny atmosphere. Depending on this, you should select the horse for betting. You need to get the right horse race betting tips to get victory in betting. So, you need to make it sure whether the owner of the product is authentic or not. You should also check whether he/she is offering full money back guarantee or not, if the system fail to click. It is better to opt for the company that offers this facility. Otherwise, you may lose good amount of money.

Lay Horse Racing Tips can be helpful for you in winning horse race bets. It consists of some experienced and efficient people who deal with this issue seriously. They work really hard to give you the best tips so that you can win the bet. They send horse racing betting tips via email and message. Now, they are offering free membership facility. You can win bets on horse race by applying the horse race tips of Lay Horse Racing Tips.